One Nation takes Farrer as Liberals lose a seat they thought came with the freehold

The Conversation · Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne · Saturday 9 May 2026

One Nation takes Farrer as Liberals lose a seat they thought came with the freehold

David Farley's One Nation win in Farrer is the party's first ever federal lower house seat, and the Liberals' primary vote collapsed to deliver it.

The Liberals have lost a seat to One Nation that they've held since Menzies was in short pants. Hanson's mob didn't win Farrer — the Liberals lost it, and they lost it the same way they lose everything now: by assuming the furniture votes for them. Menzies built a broad church. Sussan Ley's lot couldn't hold a country pew.

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