AFR · Phillip Coorey · Sunday 29 March 2026
The Coalition's primary vote has hit a record low while One Nation surges to near-Labor levels, even as Albanese's personal approval continues to slide.
The Coalition's primary vote isn't declining — it's achieving its natural level, the way water finds the lowest point in a paddock. When your policy offering is a vibe check and a scowl, voters don't defect to One Nation; they simply stop pretending the original product was different. Albanese is unpopular and still winning, which is less a compliment to Labor than an autopsy report on the alternative.